Tad Cronn

April 2, 2008

Divorce myth busted

It’s one of those “common knowledge” statistics, one that is being bandied about a lot these days as liberals try to come up with justifications for gay marriage and domestic partner laws.

Fifty percent of marriages end up in divorce.

You’ve heard it, I’ve heard it, everybody “knows” it.

But it’s not true.

According to a random telephone survey of 5,017 adults conducted by the Ventura, Calif., based Barna Group, only 33 percent of people who have been married have experienced a divorce. The survey also found that marriage is still the norm, with 22 percent of adults never marrying. Among Americans 18 and older, whether they had been married or not, 25 percent have experienced a divorce (as participants or as children).

Faith also makes a considerable difference. While overall 78 percent of adults get married, among born-again Christians the rate is 84 percent, compared with 74 percent of adults in non-Christian faiths, and 65 percent among atheists and agnostics.

Groups with above-average divorce rates include poor adults (39 percent — hey, what about “for richer or poorer?”), baby boomers (38 percent), members of non-Christian faiths (38 percent), African-Americans (36 percent), and people who consider themselves to be liberal on social and political matters (37 percent).

Among those with lower-than-average rates of divorce are Catholics (28 percent), evangelicals (26 percent), upscale adults (22 percent), Asians (20 percent) and those who deem themselves to be conservative on social and political matters (28 percent).

The maximum margin of error for the study is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

3 Comments »

  1. I don’t doubt the survey but I’ve seen the numbers from places like Infidelity Facts that put the number at above 50%.

    One of the interviews I’ve seen on this topic suggested that the 50% figure is derived from looking at the raw number of marriages and divorces in a given year. But that number is skewed because people who get divorced tend to marry and divorce multiple times. This survey looked at the people who get divorced, rather than the raw numbers.

    Comment by Daryl — April 2, 2008 @ 8:34 am

  2. So what you’re saying is that poor black democratic baby boomer atheists have a high rate of divorce. :)

    Don’t shoot the messenger …

    Comment by 4urpets — April 2, 2008 @ 2:23 pm

  3. good grief, your prejudices are showing! Does EVERYONE with an extremist opinion feel the need to BLOG it ALL in public these days? What a waste of netspace.

    No, some people keep busy posting extremist responses to perfectly reasonable blogs. …

    Comment by Moi — April 18, 2008 @ 2:05 am

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